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CFTC Draws the Line Between Prediction Markets and Gambling in New Rules

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Decrypt
By Guillermo Jimenez
10/10/2026, 5:01:03 PM
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CFTC Draws the Line Between Prediction Markets and Gambling in New Rules
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A proposed rule would expressly fold event contracts tied to sports, politics, culture and weather into the “swap” definition, while an interim rule excludes casino-style gambling—sharpening the agency’s claim to exclusive jurisdiction.

Key Takeaways

  • CFTC Draws the Line Between Prediction Markets and Gambling in New Rules.

A proposed rule would expressly fold event contracts tied to sports, politics, culture and weather into the “swap” definition, while an interim rule excludes casino-style gambling—sharpening the agency’s claim to exclusive jurisdiction.

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