Texas vs LSU predictions: Betting lines, TV channel/streaming for Week 11

Texas Longhorns tight end Emaree Winston (85) jumps over Missouri Tigers safety Kensley Louidor-Faustin (7) as he carries the ball in the second quarter during the game against Missouri at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium in Columbia on Saturday, Nov. 7, 2026. (Mikala Compton/Austin American-Statesman) What a difference a month makes.After the Texas Longhorns dropped back-to-back games against Oklahoma and Florida, their hopes for a spot in the College Football Playoff seemed dim. But after three straight wins that include triumphs over ranked teams Ole Miss and Missouri, the No. 6 Longhorns (7-2, 4-2 SEC) enter Saturday's showdown against No. 21 LSU firmly in control of their postseason fateBut Texas's first visit to Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, La., since 1953 looks tricky. A talented LSU squad already has three losses, and one more would all but eliminate the team from CFP contention. That's not what the rabid Tiger faithful envisioned when the program plucked head coach Lane Kiffin from Ole Miss last season and spent a small fortune on its portal payroll.Here's a full scouting report for the Texas Longhorns vs. the LSU Tigers:No. 6 Texas (7-2, 4-2 SEC) vs. No. 21 LSU (6-3, 3-3) When: 6:45 p.m. SaturdayWhere: Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, La.TV/radio: ESPN, 1300, 98.1, 105.3 (Spanish)Weather: The bayou will get a little chilly Saturday, with highs only in the 50s at the kickoff and dropping down into the 40s by the final whistle. Bring a jacket, but no need for a poncho; skies should be clear and the breeze mild.Texas vs LSU football betting infoMoneyline: Texas +150, LSU -180Spread: LSU is favored by 4½ points.Over/under: 46½ pointsTexas history: LSUAll-time: Texas leads 9-8-1Last meeting: LSU 45, LSU 38  (Sept. 7, 2019)Most memorable meeting:  LSU 45, Texas 38 (2019)By the time LSU capped its unbeaten season with a 42-25 win over Clemson in the 2019 national championship game, college football historians were already contemplating the Tigers' spot among the all-time great squads. Quarterback Joe Burrow and the Tigers produced arguably the greatest offensive season ever, and Texas fans got a taste of that firepower when Burrow threw for 471 yards and four touchdowns in a scintillating Week 2 contest at an electric Royal-Memorial Stadium. Burrow needed every yard to outduel Texas quarterback Sam Ehlinger (401 yards, five total TDs) and a Longhorn offense at the height of its powers under former coach Tom Herman.Know the foe: LSULast week: Lost to Alabama, 31-13Players to watch: QB Sam Leavitt, a 6-foot-2, 216-pound junior transfer from Arizona State, has thrown for 2,553 yards, 17 touchdowns and nine interceptions while completing nearly 71% of his passes and rushing for eight scores in an up-and-down season stymied by injuries. Texas fans remember him most from the 2025 Peach Bowl, when he accounted for 282 yards of offense and almost helped the Sun Devils pull off an upset in a CFP quarterfinal.WR Jackson Harris, a 6-2, 200-pound junior, looks like the next in a long lineage of game-breaking Tiger wideouts. The Hawaii transfer ranks second in the SEC with 800 yards receiving and is tied for league-high honors with seven receiving touchdowns, and he averages an impressive 17 yards a catch.  LB Whit Weeks, a 6-3, 223-pound senior, looks poised to return after missing the past five games with a broken bone in his leg. An emotional leader for the Tigers, the former All-SEC player had 120 tackles in 2024 but has battled injuries over the past two seasonsCentral Texas connections: Senior edge Princewell Umanmielen, a former All-Centex play at Manor High School, ranks second in the SEC behind Texas's Colin Simmons with 8 ½ sacks and 12 tackles for a loss.MORE: Steve Sarkisian: CFP expansion should encourage high-profile nonconference gamesGOLDEN: Longhorns shows they can win a tough road game - and a whole lot moreWhen Texas has the ballThe Tigers base their defense off the ability to get to the opposing quarterback with Umanmielen, Jordan Ross (five sacks) and Deuce Geralds (five sacks). LSU ranks fourth in SEC play with 21 sacks while Texas has allowed 23 sacks in six league games, which ranks 14th in the 16-team league in sacks-per-game average. Right tackle Andre Cojoe - who replaced Trevor Goosby in the starting lineup after he suffered a knee injury three games ago - excels in the run game. But has struggled to protect quarterback Arch Manning.Texas has shown life on the ground in recent weeks behind Raleek Brown, who has 272 yards rushing over the past three games. But the Longhorns still rank just 15th in rushing in SEC play with 105.2 yards per game, and LSU excels against the run. The Tigers rank fourth in the SEC by allowing just 104 yards a game on the ground. If they can turn Texas one dimensional, they will lean on their touted pass rush to harass Manning. Texas Longhorns running back Raleek Brown (0) advances the ball, evading Missouri Tigers safety Santana Banner (15) during the game against Missouri at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium in Columbia on Saturday, Nov. 7, 2026. (Mikala Compton/Austin American-Statesman) When LSU has the ballLSU racked up 457 yards in last week's 31-13 loss to Alabama and held the Tide to just 285 total yards. Two turnovers hurt, but so did the Tigers' ongoing red-zone struggles; LSU scores touchdowns in the red zone at just a 67% rate, which ranks 44th nationally. Against Alabama, the Tigers tallied just 10 points in four trips into the red zone. Texas has allowed nine touchdowns in 23 trips into the red zone by the opponent, which is the fewest in the SEC. If the Longhorns can hold LSU to field-goal tries, that could be the best indicator of an impending win.Will Simmons play for Texas? Leavitt threw a season-high 47 passes against Alabama and did tally 380 yards, but he also got sacked four times. Simmons leads the SEC in sacks despite missing two weeks and only playing 18 snaps last week against Missouri. If he's able to go Saturday, Simmons could help Texas pressure an LSU line that has only given up 17 sacks in nine games.Texas vs LSU key matchupTexas linebacker Rasheem Biles vs. LSU tight end Trey'Dez GreenTexas linebacker Rasheem Biles has powered his way into the Butkus Award conversation primarily because of his 67 tackles, 10 tackles for a loss and four sacks. But the 6-1, 220-pound senior excels in pass coverage, too, as evident by his team-high six pass breakups. Towering tight end Trey'Dez Green offers a unique challenge for Biles and the Texas LBs after the 6-7 junior hauled in a career-high 10 catches for 85 yards against Alabama. Texas linebacker Rasheem Biles (3) celebrates a sack during the game against Mississippi State at Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium on Saturday, Oct. 31, 2026 in Austin. (Aaron E. Martinez/Austin American-Statesman) Texas vs LSU predictionThomas Jones: LSU 27, Texas 24. Death Valley dominance may be overrated; LSU is just 4-7 in home night games against higher-ranked opponents over the past decade. But desperation isn't. The Tigers need this win to stay alive in the CFP race, and Lane Kiffin pulls out all the trick to make it happen.Danny Davis: Texas. Things are back on track and UT can't afford to slip now. Look for the Louisiana Longhorns - Arch Manning on offense and Derek Williams on defense - to step up against an LSU team that has not lived up to expectations this season.Michael Shapiro:Texas 20, LSU 17: Consider this pick an effective coin flip. Both teams sport top-five defenses nationally, but the Longhorns can survive a trip to Death Valley if their offensive line repeats its inspired effort against Missouri. This game will come down to the right foot of kicker Gianni Spetic, who will deliver one of the great road wins in recent Texas history.Sign up for the Daily Briefing from the Austin American-Statesman. Start your day with the must-read headlines from Austin's most trusted news source.This article originally published at Texas vs LSU predictions: Betting lines, TV channel/streaming for Week 11.